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議程簡表
v 12月 11 日 (星期三) v
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9:00- |
報 到 |
B棟大廳 |
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9:30-9:40 |
開幕致詞 蔡鴻坤, 彭信坤, 許育進 |
慕寰廳 |
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9:40-10:30 |
專題演講 I 主持人: 朱敬一 主講人: 高仙桂 講題: 化高齡挑戰為轉型契機 |
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10:30-10:50 |
大 合 照 暨 茶 敘 |
B棟大廳 |
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10:50-12:30 |
「超高齡社會的總體經濟挑戰與機會」論壇 主持人: 陳思寬 引言人: 董安琪 講題: 個人長生是幸福, 人口老化是危機? 與談人: 于若蓉, 張建一, 鄭仁傑, 謝佳宜, 羅紀琼 (依據姓氏筆劃排序) |
慕寰廳 |
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12:30-13:30 |
午 餐 |
B棟大廳 |
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13:30-15:00 |
平行場次 A A1: Policies and Institutions (English Session) Chairman: Wen-Tai Hsu Presenter: Chun-Fang Chiang, Wen-Tai Hsu, Yi-Fan Chen A2: Cabon Tax and Firms' Response 主持人: 簡錦漢 報告者: 葉國俊, 郭博堯, 陳馨蕙, 林雅淇 A3: 應用個體實證 主持人: 張宏浩 報告者: 陳由常, 楊豐安, 石曜合 A4: Financial Leverage, Costly Search, and Labor Supply in Macroeconomy 主持人: 陳明郎 報告者: 賴政澤, 吳致謙, 林世揚 |
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15:00-15:20 |
茶 敘 |
B棟大廳 |
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15:20-16:50 |
平行場次 B B1: Economic Modelling and Policy Assessment 主持人: 連賢明 報告者: 馮君強, 蔡文馨, 蔡旻翰 B2: Applied Economics (English Session) Chairman: Han Yang Presenter: Hsuan-Li Su, Joonkyo Hong, Meng-Ting Chen B3: 計量經濟 主持人: 陳樂昱 報告者: 冼芻蕘, 殷壽鏞, 賴宏彬 B4: Asset Pricing (English Session) Chairman: Chih-Sheng Hsieh Presenter: Stanley lat-Meng Ko, Kanji Wada, Jui-Chung Yang |
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v 12月12日 (星期四) v
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9:30- |
報 到 |
B棟大廳 |
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10:00-10:50 |
專題演講 II 主持人: 吳中書 主講人: 楊培珊 講題: 臺灣超高齡社會的挑戰與機會 |
慕寰廳 |
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10:50-11:05 |
茶 敘 |
B棟大廳 |
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11:05-12:35 |
平行場次 C C1: 通膨, 貨幣, 與財政 主持人: 蔡文禎 報告者: 鄭漢亮, 張翔, 何泰寬 C2: Topics in Macroeconomics (English) Chairman: Biing-Shen Kuo Presenter: Pei-Ju Liao, Yin-Chi Wang, Xuan S. Tam C3: 計量方法 主持人: 楊睿中 報告者: 顏佑銘, 黃碩傑 C4: 實證經濟 主持人: 張靜貞 報告者: 黃耀正, 張靜貞, 蔡秉真 |
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12:35-14:00 |
午 餐 |
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14:00-15:30 |
平行場次 D D1: 國際供應鏈與風險管理 主持人: 林欣吾 報告者: 林巍, 林虹妤, 黃科智 D2: 產經與總體經濟 主持人: 楊建成 報告者: 吳世傑, 鄭宜玲, 賴志芳 D3: 財務計量方法與應用 主持人: 許育進 報告者: 鄧惠文, 陳奕奇, 蔡子晧 D4: Macroeconomics and Finance 主持人: 張晏誠 報告者: 洪志清, 連振廷, 林軒馳 |
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議手冊 請 連結 ☆
議程明細
12月11日（星期三）
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時 間 |
會議場次 |
地點 |
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9:00- |
報到 |
B棟大廳 |
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9:30-9:40 |
開幕致詞 |
蔡鴻坤 (行政院主計總處) |
慕寰廳 |
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9:40-10:30 |
專題演講 I |
主持人: 朱敬一 (中央研究院經濟研究所) |
慕寰廳 |
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10:30-10:50 |
大合照暨茶敘 |
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10:50-12:30 |
論壇: 超高齡社會的總體經濟挑戰與機會 |
主持人: 陳思寬 (兆豐金控) |
慕寰廳 |
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12:30-13:30 |
午餐 |
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13:30-15:00 |
場次 A |
A1 Policies and Institutions (English Session)
Chair: Wen-Tai Hsu (Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica)
1. Fertility Responses to Parental Leave Benefits
*Chun-Fang Chiang (National Taiwan University), Yi-Jie Wu
2. Market Size and Institutions in a Global Economy
Xuan Luo, *Wen-Tai Hsu (Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica)
3. Social Network and Industrial Policy: Japan's Camphor Monopoly in Colonial Taiwan
*Yi-Fan Chen (National University of Kaohsiung), Shao-Yu Jheng
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慕寰廳 |
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A2 Carbon Tax and Firms’ Response
主持人: 簡錦漢 (中央研究院經濟研究所)
1. EU's Industrial and Trade Policies in a Decade: From "Trade for All" to "Five Initiatives" and the Impact on Indo-Pacific Supply Chains
*Kuo-Chun Yeh (National Taiwan University), Ya-Chi Lin
2. 歐盟ETS與CBAM機制設計對鋼鐵產業碳排放與碳成本估算之可能影響
*郭博堯 (財團法人中技社資源暨環境研究中心)
3. Is the EU Regaining Global Influence Through CBAM? Insights from Taiwan's Supply Chain Survey Data
葉國俊, *陳馨蕙 (中華經濟研究院)
4. 地緣政治風險指數對股價報酬之預測性
*林雅淇 (國立中山大學中國與亞太區域研究所)
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B110 | ||
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A3 應用個體實證
主持人: 張宏浩 (國立臺灣大學農業經濟學系)
1. The Impact of Loosening Concealed Carry Laws on Firearm Purchases
Jessica Jumee Kim, *Yu-Chang Chen (National Taiwan University)
2. Early Childhood Education and Developmental Outcomes: Evidence from Taiwan
Hugo Po-Chien Lin, *Feng-An Yang (National Taiwan University) 3. When Nature Turns Hazy: How Wildfire Smoke Affects Outdoor Recreation
*Yau-Huo (Jimmy) Shr (National Taiwan University), Xibo Wan, Wendong Zhang
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C101 | ||
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A4 Financial Leverage, Costly Search, and Labor Supply in Macroeconomy
主持人: 陳明郎 (中央研究院經濟研究所)
1. Credit Limits and Business Cycles in A Model with Financial Sectors and Occasionally Binding Collateral Constraints
Been-Lon Chen, *Zheng-Ze Lai (Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica) 2. The Role of Costly Entry and Hiring Costs in the Search and Match Model
*Jhih-Chian Wu (National Chung Cheng University)
3. The Labor Supply of Married Women and Spousal Tax Deductions in Japan
Minchung Hsu, Pei-Ju Liao, *Shih-Yang Lin (National Taiwan University), Yi-Chan Tsai
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C103 | ||
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15:00-15:20 |
茶敘 |
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15:20-16:50 |
場次 B |
B1 Economic Modelling and Policy Assessment
主持人: 連賢明 (中華經濟研究院)
1. Green Technology Pathways and Net-Zero Transition in Taiwan: An S&T Policy Model Assessment
*Chun-Chiang Feng (Chung-Hua Institute for Economic Research), Kuei-Feng Chang, Tsung-Chen Lee, Jin-Xu Lin, Shih-Mo Lin 2. Beyond Traditional Distress Resolution Modeling: Variables Selection and Advanced Techniques Application on Quick Restructuring
*Wen-Hsin Tsai (Chung-Hua Institute for Economic Research), Mao-Wei Hung 3. How Does Policy Support Benefit Rural Development? An Assessment of Rural Regeneration Policy in Taiwan
*Min-Han Tsai (Chung-Hua Institute for Economic Research), Yir-Hueih Luh |
慕寰廳 |
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B2 Applied Economics (English Session)
Chair: Han Yang (Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica)
1. Inequality and Earnings Dynamics in Taiwan
Yu-Ting Chiang, Kuan-Min Chen, Ming-Jen Lin, *Hsuan-Li Su (National Taiwan University) 2. Factor-Biased Efficiency Gains from Exporting: Evidence from Colombia
*Joonkyo Hong (National Taiwan University), Davide Luparello
3. Shifting Employment and Investment Structures Towards Environmental Sustainability
Juin-Jen Chang, Jhy-Yuan Shieh, Jhy-Hwa Chen, *Meng-Ting Chen (National Taiwan Normal University), Jiakai Zhang |
B110 | ||
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B3 計量經濟
主持人: 陳樂昱 (中央研究院經濟研究所)
1. Selecting Variables from Many (Weak) Instruments with Square-Summable Coefficients
*CY (Chor-yiu) SIN (National Tsing Hua University) 2. Focused Information Criterion and Model Averaging with Orthogonal Transformation
*Shou-Yung Yin (National Taipei University) 3. Input Misallocation and Productivity Dynamics
*Hung-pin Lai (National Chung Cheng University), Subal C. Kumbhakar
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B4 Asset Pricing (English Session)
Chair: Chih-Sheng Hsieh (National Taiwan University)
1. Asset Pricing with Co-Search Interaction
Runyu Dai, *Stanley Iat-Meng Ko (Tohoku University), Bruce Yuan Li, Chia Chun Lo, Yasumasa Matsuda, Jieying Zhang 2. Model Uncertainty as Partial-Identification Problems: Application to Policy Promises during Crises
*Kanji Wada (National Taiwan University) 3. Time-Varying Betas in Foreign Exchange Returns: An IPCA Approach
Hsuan Fu, Shu-Fu Lee, *Jui-Chung Yang (National Taiwan University) |
C103 | ||
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18:00- |
晚宴 (BY INVITATION) |
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12月12日（星期四）
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時 間 |
會議場次 |
地點 |
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9:30- |
報到 |
B棟大廳 |
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10:00-10:50 |
專題演講 II |
主持人: 吳中書 (台灣經濟研究院) |
慕寰廳 |
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10:50-11:05 |
茶敘 |
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11:05-12:35 |
場次 C |
C1 通膨, 貨幣, 與財政
主持人: 蔡文禎 (中央研究院經濟研究所)
1. 極端氣候對臺灣通膨及產出之影響
*鄭漢亮 (中央銀行)
2. The Distributional Income and Wealth Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence from Taiwan
*Shian Chang (National Taiwan University), Tzu-Ting Yang
3. Caught in a Sovereign Debt Quagmire: A Quantitative Assessment
Chia-Wei Chen, *Tai-Kuang Ho (National Taiwan University)
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慕寰廳 |
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C2 Topics in Macroeconomics (English Session)
Chair: Biing-Shen Kuo (National Chengchi University)
1. Population Aging in Developing Economies – Not Entirely a Bad Thing
Tanyasorn Ekapirak, Minchung Hsu, *Pei-Ju Liao (National Taiwan University)
2. Long-Term Care, Health Investment and Labor Supply
Chuen-Kai Hsu, *Yin-Chi Wang (National Taipei University) 3. Credit Card Regulation and Consumer Debt
*Xuan S. Tam (City University of Hong Kong) |
B110 | ||
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C3 計量方法
主持人: 楊睿中 (國立臺灣大學經濟學系)
1. Quantifying Omitted Variable Bias in Instrumental Variable Estimators
*Yu-Min Yen (National Chengchi University) 2. Wasserstein Imputation: Highly Versatile Missing Data Imputation for Time Series
*Shuo-Chieh Huang (Rutgers University), Tengyuan Liang, Ruey S. Tsay |
C101 | ||
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C4 實證經濟
主持人: 張靜貞 (中央研究院經濟研究所)
1. Effects of Colorectal Cancer Screening Program on Incidence, Mortality, Early-Stage Detection, and Five-Year Survival Rate
*Frank Yao Huang (National Taiwan University), Tzu-Ting Yang 2. 超高齡社會下臺灣人口結構變動對糧食需求預測之影響分析
官沂鴻, 陳柏琪, *張靜貞 (中央研究院經濟研究所)
3. How One Country’s Policy Rate Changes Are Induced by Another: A Linear Hawkes Process Approach
*Ping Chen Tsai (National Sun Yat-sen University), Ray Yeutien Chou, Chi-Feng Tzeng, Cheoljun Eom
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C103 | ||
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12:35-14:00 |
午餐 |
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14:00-15:30 |
場次 D |
D1 國際供應鏈與風險管理
主持人: 林欣吾 (台灣經濟研究院)
1. 國際關鍵礦物資源出口管制對臺灣之影響與因應建議
譚瑾瑜, *林巍 (台灣經濟研究院)
2. 國際供應鏈去風險化對臺灣產業影響
*林虹妤 (台灣經濟研究院)
3. 臺灣在中國市場的進口替代彈性估測 ─ 以ECFA早收清單為例
*黃科智 (台灣經濟研究院), 劉名寰
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慕寰廳 |
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D2 產經與總體理論
主持人: 楊建成 (中央研究院經濟研究所)
1. Fair Trade Organizations, Buyer Power, and Trade Policy under Oligopsony: A Welfare Analysis
*Shih-Jye Wu (National Sun Yat-sen University), Hung-Yi Chen, Yang-Ming Chang 2. Product Bundling and Quality Innovation in Network Industries
*Yi-Ling Cheng (National Sun Yat-sen University) 3. Short-Term Care and Births Timing
Been-Lon Chen, *Chih-Fang Lai (Soochow University) |
B110 | ||
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D3 財務計量方法與應用
主持人: 許育進 (中央研究院經濟研究所)
1. Financial Analytics of BTC Inverse Options in a Stochastic Volatility World
*Huei-Wen Teng (National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University), Wolfgang Karl Härdle 2. Predicting forward Default Probabilities of Firms: A Discrete-Time forward Hazard Model with Firm-Specific Frailty
Ruey-Ching Hwang, *Yi-Chi Chen (National Cheng Kung University) 3. A Cohort and Empirical Based Multivariate Mortality Model
Y.-C Huang, *Jeffrey Tzu-Hao Tsai (National Tsing Hua University), Yi-Shan Wong
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C101 | ||
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D4 Macroeconomics and Finance
主持人: 張晏誠 (國立臺灣大學財務金融學系)
1. Learning from the Band of Brothers: Evidence from Entrepreneurial Spillover
Yen-Cheng Chang, Chun-Che Chi, *Chih-Ching Hung (National Taiwan University), Kevin Tseng
2. Liquidity Management through Contracts with Customers
*Chris Chen-Ting Lien (National Taiwan University) 3. Dissecting the Asymmetric Impact of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Inequality Over the Business Cycle
Chih-Han Hsueh, *Hsuan-Chih (Luke) Lin (National Taiwan University), C.C. Yang |
C103 | ||
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